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10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101391
When oil market uncertainty rises, expected currency excess returns will increase.
When oil market uncertainty rises, expected currency excess returns will increase.
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10.2139/ssrn.3820056
The findings highlight the role of behavioral factors as predictor of currency excess returns with significant investment implications.
The findings highlight the role of behavioral factors as predictor of currency excess returns with significant investment implications.
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10.2139/ssrn.2399492
Following Engel (2011), we use a Beveridge-Nelson decomposition to link expected foreign currency excess returns to `prospective interest rate differential' -- the infinite sum of expected future interest rate differentials.
Following Engel (2011), we use a Beveridge-Nelson decomposition to link expected foreign currency excess returns to `prospective interest rate differential' -- the infinite sum of expected future interest rate differentials.
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10.2139/ssrn.3872077
These include the initial underreaction and delayed overreaction of currencies in response to monetary news; positive short-horizon and negative long-horizon autocorrelations of currency excess returns; and the lower return predictability of interest rate differentials for UIP trades implemented with longer maturity bonds.
These include the initial underreaction and delayed overreaction of currencies in response to monetary news; positive short-horizon and negative long-horizon autocorrelations of currency excess returns; and the lower return predictability of interest rate differentials for UIP trades implemented with longer maturity bonds.
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